People should always look at the website of the polling outfit. There you will find methadology for each poll. A few of the polls use "registered" voters, some use "adults" and one uses "likely" voters which are the voters which are most likely to vote, rather than those 2 larger groups. Now if you went down your street and talked to each adult neighbor (lets say you have 30 on your street, and they are all adults) then looked up which ones are registered to vote. Perhaps that number would be 22 of them. Then you would look at their voting history and you would find that a few of them had not voted in 6 or 8 years. So now you have 20. Now you would go see the 20 and ask them how likly they are to vote. About 15 of them would say definitely or pretty sure. Five of them would say things like "if I have time." or "If I am in town" or "If I can get a ride."
Those are your polling 'universes'... Which do you think is most reliable?
"While Foreign Terrorists were plotting to murder and maim using homemade bombs in Boston, Democrap officials in Washington DC, Albany and here were busy watching ME and other law abiding American Citizens who are gun owners and taxpayers, in an effort to blame the nation's lack of security on US so that they could have a political scapegoat."
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 42% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 42% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.
So can we assume that those who are undecided and those who would vote for a third party candidate... the 7% will be voting for Ron Paul???
The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness. John Kenneth Galbraith
I won't make a formal prediction on the final outcome -- except to say that it will be extremely close in the Electoral College and right now .. my instincts tell me (based on the current situation) that Romney will have the advantage there.
George Amedore & Christian Klueg for NYS Senate 2016 Pete Vroman for State Assembly 2016[/size][/color]
"For this is what America is all about. It is the uncrossed desert and the unclimbed ridge. It is the star that is not reached and the harvest that is sleeping in the unplowed ground." Lyndon Baines Johnson
I won't make a formal prediction on the final outcome -- except to say that it will be extremely close in the Electoral College and right now .. my instincts tell me (based on the current situation) that Romney will have the advantage there.
Based on ur track record of accuracy, fact or feeling, looks like Obama has it locked
JUST BECAUSE SISSY SAYS SO DOESN'T MAKE IT SO...BUT HE THINKS IT DOES!!!!! JUST BECAUSE MC1 SAYS SO DOESN'T MAKE IT SO!!!!!
North Carolina a political headache for Democrats May 12, 6:00 PM (ET)
CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) - Once a bright spot for President Barack Obama, North Carolina is now more like a political migraine less than four months before Democrats open the party's national convention in Charlotte. The causes are plenty. Labor unions, a core Democratic constituency, are up in arms. Democratic Gov. Bev Perdue isn't running for re-election; Democrats say she was likely to lose. The state Democratic Party is in disarray over an explosive sexual harassment scandal. Voters recently approved amending the state constitution to ban gay marriage, a position that runs counter to Obama's. And unemployment in the state remains persistently high. "Nobody can sugarcoat the fact that we got problems here," said Gary Pearce, a former Democratic consultant who was an adviser to former Democratic Gov. Jim Hunt. Pearce was referring specifically to state party woes but could have been talking about any of the troubles here for Democrats. But, he added: "I think the greatest strength that the party has is President Obama. And he's the thing that people will rally around." It wasn't supposed to be like this - at least that was the hope - when Democrats chose Charlotte to host the national convention, where Obama will formally accept his party's presidential nomination for a second time, Sept. 4-6.....................................>>>>....................>>>>..........................http://apnews.myway.com/article/20120512/D9UNDR601.html
Obama On Gay Marriage: It 'Doesn't Weaken Families;' It 'Strengthens Families' By JULIE PACE 05/14/12 09:17 PM ET
President Barack Obama speaks at a fundraiser hosted by singer Ricky Martin and the LGBT Leadership Council at the Rubin Museum of Art, Monday, May 14, 2012, in New York. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais) NEW YORK — President Barack Obama on Monday defended his view that gay couples should have the right to marry, saying that the country has never gone wrong when it "expanded rights and responsibilities to everybody."
"That doesn't weaken families. That strengthens families," he told gay and lesbian supporters and others at a fundraiser hosted by singer Ricky Martin and the LGBT Leadership Council. "It's the right thing to do."...........................>>>>.........................>>>>........................http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/05/14/obama-gay-marriage-strengthens-families_n_1516416.html
Look another 1 percenter May 15, 2012 Obama worth as much as $10 million By Richard Wolf, USA TODAY
CAPTION By Haraz N. Ghanbari, AP Three things are apparent from President Obama's annual financial disclosure statement, released today:
He is a wealthy man, with assets of as much as $10 million.
He has a hefty stake in JPMorgan Chase, the megabank that just made a bad $2 billion bet. Obama has an account worth between $500,000 and $1 million.
Despite the nation's $15.6 trillion debt, he is a believer in government paper. More than half of his assets are in Treasury bills and notes.
The disclosure statement lists assets and liabilities in dollar ranges, so pinpointing the president's net worth is difficult. His assets appear to tally between $2.6 million and $9.9 million. He holds a mortgage on his Chicago home of $500,000 to $1 million.
As was clear from Obama's income tax filing, much of his income continues to roll in from book royalties. The disclosure form lists $100,000 to $1 million in royalties from Dreams From My Father, $100,000 to $1 million from Of Thee I Sing: A Letter to My Daughters, and $50,000 to $100,000 from The Audacity of Hope.
Vice President Biden, on the other hand, isn't all that wealthy. His financial disclosure statement includes less than $1 million in assets -- and as much as $1.5 million in liabilities, including between $500,000 and $1 million on his Wilmington home.
Poll Shows Obama Expanding Lead Nationally A new Fox News poll finds Presdent Obama leading Mitt Romney by seven points nationally, 46% to 39%. Just three weeks ago the candidates were tied at 46%.
The finding is the reverse of a New York Times/CBS News poll put out earlier this week which found Romney moving into a lead.
The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness. John Kenneth Galbraith
The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness. John Kenneth Galbraith
Poll Shows Obama Expanding Lead Nationally A new Fox News poll finds Presdent Obama leading Mitt Romney by seven points nationally, 46% to 39%. Just three weeks ago the candidates were tied at 46%.
The finding is the reverse of a New York Times/CBS News poll put out earlier this week which found Romney moving into a lead.
Which means that polls are useless this far out.
"Arguing with liberals is like playing chess with a pigeon; no matter how good I am at chess, the pigeon is just going to knock out the pieces, crap on the board, and strut around like it is victorious." - Author Unknown
I agree that polls this far out don't predict the eventual winner. Polls at this time in the race, give an idea of the view of the country at the time the poll was taken. Those numbers change daily.
The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness. John Kenneth Galbraith
I agree that polls this far out don't predict the eventual winner. Polls at this time in the race, give an idea of the view of the country at the time the poll was taken. Those numbers change daily.
You'll have the convention pop for each candidate and since many people are on vacation during the next few months, results will be wacky. Once we get past labor day, the polls seem to get in line more and more. Of course, then there is the electoral college issue. If Romney were to win, I easily see a scenario were he wins while losing the popular vote. If Obama wins, I think he'll take both.
"Arguing with liberals is like playing chess with a pigeon; no matter how good I am at chess, the pigeon is just going to knock out the pieces, crap on the board, and strut around like it is victorious." - Author Unknown
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